FATE // RESOLVED 000002
$TRILLION
Trillion
Bm6ffo3zf1ieouZKxwRwdfo9zWKv5oQt1F72QZsXpump
FUTURES1,000
HORIZON60 MIN
DEPTHGLIMPSE
SCENARIObaseline
CAPTURED$2.4K
STATUSRESOLVED
FATE SAW38.9%
REALITY-0.5%
RESULTDIRECTION CORRECT
ENDING MARKET CAP$2.3K
MAX UPSIDE+0.0%
MAX DRAWDOWN0.6%
+25% touchedNO
+50% touchedNO
2× touchedNO
-20% drawdown touchedNO
-30% drawdown touchedNO
-50% drawdown touchedNO
-80% drawdown touchedNO
Observation quality: good · 31 observations. Resolved with coarse sampling can miss intraminute wicks.
SIMULATED PROBABILITIES
END ABOVE CURRENT38.9%
END BELOW CURRENT61.1%
TOUCH +25%50.0%
TOUCH +50%36.9%
TOUCH +100%34.0%
-20% DRAWDOWN71.7%
-30% DRAWDOWN81.2%
-50% DRAWDOWN88.5%
-80% DRAWDOWN23.8%
Probabilities describe the share of simulated futures, not certainty. Never a guarantee of price movement.
SIMULATED DISTRIBUTION
Percentile paths across 1,000 simulated futures. Not a single predicted future.
median (P50) P25–P75 P05–P95
P10$240.2100
P25$503.9700
P75$3.0K
P90$6.2K
CONVERGENCE28 / 100
DATA QUALITYMEDIUM
MODELFATE-MC-2
REPRODUCIBILITY
market snapshotSNAP-DDE1C9C5D971
input hash7fb65e227691695065e1…
parameter versionfate-v2-params-2026-10-05
calibration versionplatt-FATE-MC-2-60m-2026-10-05
seedBm6ffo3zf1ieouZKxwRwdfo9…
generated2h ago
Experimental probabilistic market simulation. Not financial advice, not a guarantee of price movement, and not a substitute for your own risk assessment. This prophecy is part of an immutable public record.