FATE // RESOLVED 000007
$Fulnecky
Samantha Fulnecky
F5VdbmjLNEXoyeKuLG4kQvy39BDwq8PjY9DiMUdMkyC6
FUTURES1,000
HORIZON60 MIN
DEPTHGLIMPSE
SCENARIObaseline
CAPTURED$36.5K
STATUSRESOLVED
FATE SAW45.7%
REALITY-82.8%
RESULTDIRECTION CORRECT
ENDING MARKET CAP$6.3K
MAX UPSIDE+3.5%
MAX DRAWDOWN82.8%
+25% touchedNO
+50% touchedNO
2× touchedNO
-20% drawdown touchedYES
-30% drawdown touchedYES
-50% drawdown touchedYES
-80% drawdown touchedYES
Observation quality: good · 55 observations. Resolved with coarse sampling can miss intraminute wicks.
SIMULATED PROBABILITIES
END ABOVE CURRENT45.7%
END BELOW CURRENT54.3%
TOUCH +25%66.5%
TOUCH +50%62.2%
TOUCH +100%61.8%
-20% DRAWDOWN61.4%
-30% DRAWDOWN63.2%
-50% DRAWDOWN73.0%
-80% DRAWDOWN8.3%
Probabilities describe the share of simulated futures, not certainty. Never a guarantee of price movement.
SIMULATED DISTRIBUTION
Percentile paths across 1,000 simulated futures. Not a single predicted future.
median (P50) P25–P75 P05–P95
P10$8.3K
P25$17.6K
P75$111.0K
P90$271.3K
CONVERGENCE25 / 100
DATA QUALITYMEDIUM
MODELFATE-MC-2
REPRODUCIBILITY
market snapshotSNAP-AE4C0CE9764C
input hash5434cbc5d706a7e9037d…
parameter versionfate-v2-params-2026-10-05
calibration versionplatt-FATE-MC-2-60m-2026-10-05
seedF5VdbmjLNEXoyeKuLG4kQvy3…
generated2h ago
Experimental probabilistic market simulation. Not financial advice, not a guarantee of price movement, and not a substitute for your own risk assessment. This prophecy is part of an immutable public record.