FATE // BROKEN PROPHECY 000008
$FATE
FATE
9y7ij6Js8bTtswvE1WZWfgJaQQYhg9iJFov1SJyHpump
FUTURES1,000
HORIZON60 MIN
DEPTHGLIMPSE
SCENARIObaseline
CAPTURED$12.9K
STATUSRESOLVED
FATE SAW47.6%
REALITY+27.1%
RESULTDIRECTION WRONG
ENDING MARKET CAP$16.3K
MAX UPSIDE+52.7%
MAX DRAWDOWN27.9%
+25% touchedYES
+50% touchedYES
2× touchedNO
-20% drawdown touchedYES
-30% drawdown touchedNO
-50% drawdown touchedNO
-80% drawdown touchedNO
Observation quality: good · 67 observations. Resolved with coarse sampling can miss intraminute wicks.
SIMULATED PROBABILITIES
END ABOVE CURRENT47.6%
END BELOW CURRENT52.4%
TOUCH +25%61.2%
TOUCH +50%52.7%
TOUCH +100%48.6%
-20% DRAWDOWN51.9%
-30% DRAWDOWN41.3%
-50% DRAWDOWN37.3%
-80% DRAWDOWN0.5%
Probabilities describe the share of simulated futures, not certainty. Never a guarantee of price movement.
SIMULATED DISTRIBUTION
Percentile paths across 1,000 simulated futures. Not a single predicted future.
median (P50) P25–P75 P05–P95
P10$5.6K
P25$9.6K
P75$30.9K
P90$53.9K
CONVERGENCE25 / 100
DATA QUALITYMEDIUM
MODELFATE-MC-2
REPRODUCIBILITY
market snapshotSNAP-AE15DAC5126B
input hashadb44266644c1a1899ac…
parameter versionfate-v2-params-2026-10-05
calibration versionplatt-FATE-MC-2-60m-2026-10-05
seed9y7ij6Js8bTtswvE1WZWfgJa…
generated2h ago
Experimental probabilistic market simulation. Not financial advice, not a guarantee of price movement, and not a substitute for your own risk assessment. This prophecy is part of an immutable public record.