PROPHECY 000011
FATE // BROKEN PROPHECY 000011

$SI276

Super Intelligence SI276

HMYd9tosnUXuNHmq7pXmoePRVBLBBjA3JBfydq6upump
FUTURES1,000
HORIZON60 MIN
DEPTHGLIMPSE
SCENARIObaseline
CAPTURED$103.9K
STATUSRESOLVED
FATE WAS WRONG
FATE SAW45.8%
REALITY+3.5%
RESULTDIRECTION WRONG
ENDING MARKET CAP$107.6K
MAX UPSIDE+7.5%
MAX DRAWDOWN49.6%
+25% touchedNO
+50% touchedNO
2× touchedNO
-20% drawdown touchedYES
-30% drawdown touchedYES
-50% drawdown touchedNO
-80% drawdown touchedNO

Observation quality: good · 47 observations. Resolved with coarse sampling can miss intraminute wicks.

SIMULATED PROBABILITIES
END ABOVE CURRENT45.8%
END BELOW CURRENT54.2%
TOUCH +25%66.8%
TOUCH +50%65.3%
TOUCH +100%65.4%
-20% DRAWDOWN60.2%
-30% DRAWDOWN59.6%
-50% DRAWDOWN70.6%
-80% DRAWDOWN8.2%

Probabilities describe the share of simulated futures, not certainty. Never a guarantee of price movement.

SIMULATED DISTRIBUTION

Percentile paths across 1,000 simulated futures. Not a single predicted future.

median (P50) P25–P75 P05–P95
P10$22.0K
P25$52.2K
P75$324.0K
P90$735.2K
CONVERGENCE25 / 100
DATA QUALITYMEDIUM
MODELFATE-MC-2
REPRODUCIBILITY
market snapshotSNAP-E1DF064B3F1D
input hasha28d6d021d8964faaacc…
parameter versionfate-v2-params-2026-10-05
calibration versionplatt-FATE-MC-2-60m-2026-10-05
seedHMYd9tosnUXuNHmq7pXmoePR…
generated2h ago

Experimental probabilistic market simulation. Not financial advice, not a guarantee of price movement, and not a substitute for your own risk assessment. This prophecy is part of an immutable public record.