PROPHECY 000013
FATE // PROPHECY 000013

$FATE

FATE

9y7ij6Js8bTtswvE1WZWfgJaQQYhg9iJFov1SJyHpump
FUTURES100,000
HORIZON240 MIN
DEPTHPROPHECY
SCENARIObaseline
CAPTURED$10.9K
STATUSOPEN
51.5%END ABOVE CURRENT
RESOLVES—
SIMULATED PROBABILITIES
END ABOVE CURRENT51.5%
END BELOW CURRENT48.5%
TOUCH +25%75.8%
TOUCH +50%66.7%
TOUCH +100%39.4%
-20% DRAWDOWN91.4%
-30% DRAWDOWN80.3%
-50% DRAWDOWN59.4%
-80% DRAWDOWN75.6%

Probabilities describe the share of simulated futures, not certainty. Never a guarantee of price movement.

SIMULATED DISTRIBUTION

Percentile paths across 100,000 simulated futures. Not a single predicted future.

median (P50) P25–P75 P05–P95
P10$426.8300
P25$1.9K
P75$70.8K
P90$244.3K
CONVERGENCE31 / 100
DATA QUALITYMEDIUM
MODELFATE-MC-2
REPRODUCIBILITY
market snapshotSNAP-D81DFDBE690B
input hashaa9b3a62266741b38d79…
parameter versionfate-v2-params-2026-10-05
calibration versionplatt-FATE-MC-2-240m-2026-10-05
seed9y7ij6Js8bTtswvE1WZWfgJa…
generated2h ago

Experimental probabilistic market simulation. Not financial advice, not a guarantee of price movement, and not a substitute for your own risk assessment. This prophecy is part of an immutable public record.