FATE // RESOLVED 000020
$FATE
FATE
9y7ij6Js8bTtswvE1WZWfgJaQQYhg9iJFov1SJyHpump
FUTURES100,000
HORIZON60 MIN
DEPTHPROPHECY
SCENARIOcustom · exit yes · +$250.0K / -$250.0K
CAPTURED$7.9K
STATUSRESOLVED
FATE SAW35.1%
REALITY-21.7%
RESULTDIRECTION CORRECT
ENDING MARKET CAP$6.2K
MAX UPSIDE+0.0%
MAX DRAWDOWN21.9%
+25% touchedNO
+50% touchedNO
2× touchedNO
-20% drawdown touchedYES
-30% drawdown touchedNO
-50% drawdown touchedNO
-80% drawdown touchedNO
Observation quality: good · 85 observations. Resolved with coarse sampling can miss intraminute wicks.
SIMULATED PROBABILITIES
END ABOVE CURRENT35.1%
END BELOW CURRENT64.9%
TOUCH +25%29.0%
TOUCH +50%14.4%
TOUCH +100%11.8%
-20% DRAWDOWN97.4%
-30% DRAWDOWN94.3%
-50% DRAWDOWN93.7%
-80% DRAWDOWN26.2%
Probabilities describe the share of simulated futures, not certainty. Never a guarantee of price movement.
SIMULATED DISTRIBUTION
Percentile paths across 100,000 simulated futures. Not a single predicted future.
median (P50) P25–P75 P05–P95
P10$838.8500
P25$1.6K
P75$6.4K
P90$11.9K
CONVERGENCE37 / 100
DATA QUALITYMEDIUM
MODELFATE-MC-2
REPRODUCIBILITY
market snapshotSNAP-F17E5A2B616B
input hash4eaf3b27774ba3e9428a…
parameter versionfate-v2-params-2026-10-05
calibration versionplatt-FATE-MC-2-60m-2026-10-05
seed9y7ij6Js8bTtswvE1WZWfgJa…
generated2h ago
Experimental probabilistic market simulation. Not financial advice, not a guarantee of price movement, and not a substitute for your own risk assessment. This prophecy is part of an immutable public record.