FATE // BROKEN PROPHECY 000021
$FATE
FATE
9y7ij6Js8bTtswvE1WZWfgJaQQYhg9iJFov1SJyHpump
FUTURES100,000
HORIZON60 MIN
DEPTHPROPHECY
SCENARIOcustom · exit yes · +$250.0K / -$0.0000
CAPTURED$7.9K
STATUSRESOLVED
FATE SAW58.4%
REALITY-21.7%
RESULTDIRECTION WRONG
ENDING MARKET CAP$6.2K
MAX UPSIDE+0.0%
MAX DRAWDOWN21.9%
+25% touchedNO
+50% touchedNO
2× touchedNO
-20% drawdown touchedYES
-30% drawdown touchedNO
-50% drawdown touchedNO
-80% drawdown touchedNO
Observation quality: good · 84 observations. Resolved with coarse sampling can miss intraminute wicks.
SIMULATED PROBABILITIES
END ABOVE CURRENT58.4%
END BELOW CURRENT41.6%
TOUCH +25%98.9%
TOUCH +50%99.9%
TOUCH +100%100.0%
-20% DRAWDOWN23.0%
-30% DRAWDOWN5.7%
-50% DRAWDOWN4.2%
-80% DRAWDOWN0.0%
Probabilities describe the share of simulated futures, not certainty. Never a guarantee of price movement.
SIMULATED DISTRIBUTION
Percentile paths across 100,000 simulated futures. Not a single predicted future.
median (P50) P25–P75 P05–P95
P10$7.8K
P25$13.7K
P75$49.1K
P90$87.3K
CONVERGENCE33 / 100
DATA QUALITYMEDIUM
MODELFATE-MC-2
REPRODUCIBILITY
market snapshotSNAP-295B0946613F
input hash2d49905c6b707fec86c0…
parameter versionfate-v2-params-2026-10-05
calibration versionplatt-FATE-MC-2-60m-2026-10-05
seed9y7ij6Js8bTtswvE1WZWfgJa…
generated2h ago
Experimental probabilistic market simulation. Not financial advice, not a guarantee of price movement, and not a substitute for your own risk assessment. This prophecy is part of an immutable public record.