FATE // BROKEN PROPHECY 000022
$FATE
FATE
9y7ij6Js8bTtswvE1WZWfgJaQQYhg9iJFov1SJyHpump
FUTURES10,000
HORIZON60 MIN
DEPTHVISION
SCENARIOcustom · exit no · +$115.0K / -$0.0000
CAPTURED$7.9K
STATUSRESOLVED
FATE SAW64.3%
REALITY-21.7%
RESULTDIRECTION WRONG
ENDING MARKET CAP$6.2K
MAX UPSIDE+0.0%
MAX DRAWDOWN21.9%
+25% touchedNO
+50% touchedNO
2× touchedNO
-20% drawdown touchedYES
-30% drawdown touchedNO
-50% drawdown touchedNO
-80% drawdown touchedNO
Observation quality: good · 83 observations. Resolved with coarse sampling can miss intraminute wicks.
SIMULATED PROBABILITIES
END ABOVE CURRENT64.3%
END BELOW CURRENT35.7%
TOUCH +25%98.9%
TOUCH +50%99.9%
TOUCH +100%100.0%
-20% DRAWDOWN15.3%
-30% DRAWDOWN2.0%
-50% DRAWDOWN1.1%
-80% DRAWDOWN0.0%
Probabilities describe the share of simulated futures, not certainty. Never a guarantee of price movement.
SIMULATED DISTRIBUTION
Percentile paths across 10,000 simulated futures. Not a single predicted future.
median (P50) P25–P75 P05–P95
P10$11.7K
P25$20.4K
P75$69.1K
P90$123.6K
CONVERGENCE35 / 100
DATA QUALITYMEDIUM
MODELFATE-MC-2
REPRODUCIBILITY
market snapshotSNAP-E39397D66765
input hash6734f8bb0380b3d123e3…
parameter versionfate-v2-params-2026-10-05
calibration versionplatt-FATE-MC-2-60m-2026-10-05
seed9y7ij6Js8bTtswvE1WZWfgJa…
generated2h ago
Experimental probabilistic market simulation. Not financial advice, not a guarantee of price movement, and not a substitute for your own risk assessment. This prophecy is part of an immutable public record.